First I have to start by saying, no David Ortiz in the clubhouse could derail this season faster than most fans think. The two marque signings from 2015, Hanley Ramirez, and Pablo Sandoval are now without one of the best hitters in baseball history watching over them. Last season Hanley put together an impressive campaign playing in 147 games (his most since 2009 with the Marlins) 157 hits, 30 homers, and 111 runs batted in. Sandoval had a diverse 2016 season playing in only 3 games, recording no hits, and breaking at least one belt…that we know of.
(Wait for it…comedy)
These two worry me without Ortiz to put Hanely them in place when they screw up on or off the field (I promise at least one will). Reports do say that Sandoval is trending up, losing the weight that managed to BREAK HIS BELT last season, I feel like I can’t state that enough. Everything seems all right for Pablo Sandoval. IF (big if) these two can go an entire season without causing any headaches for the team, they should make the playoffs with ease.
This is the first time since the Theo days where I am somewhat confident with the pitching staff. Obviously, the $200 million dollar man David Price is going to start the season on the DL with his mysterious elbow injury. Weak elbow could sideline pitcher into May. Luckily for the Red Sox they have the reigning Cy Young Award winner in Pretty Ricky Porcello. Porcello will take the bump for the Sox on opening day. A spot I believe he earned last year and going all the way back to the second half of the 2015 season. Porcello is set to start over the newly acquired lefty Chris Sale. This will be Sale’s first season with the club and he is expected to be a catalysis in a somewhat strong Red Sox rotation. I would feel a lot more comfortable with a few more arms in the bullpen that can come in on short rest and give you a few bridge innings. I like what Joe Kelly and Matt Barnes bring to the table when they are called upon. The Red Sox NEED Craig Kimbrel to be better in late game situations than he was last year, no more 9th inning game-tying home runs. Kimbrel was named to the All-Star team last year as a closer and the team is hoping he can earn his way back for another appearance this July.
I havent even touched on the best outfield baseball has to offer. Bennitendi, Bradley, Betts.
The team and fans alike are expecting big things from their outfield, but the most pressure has to be on rookie Andrew Bennitendi. Bennitendi seemed to be the only bright spot in last years playoff series loss to Cleveland. In 9 at bats over the course of the series, Bennitendi managed 4 hits, a home run, and an OPS of 1.111 (David Ortiz led the league with an OPS of 1.021 during the regular season). Manager John Farrell has gone on record stating, he thinks Bennitendi will bat third on opening day Left fielder Andrew Benintendi could be the Red Sox’s No. 3 hitter on Opening Day. This is a lot of pressure to put on a 22-year-old kid with only 106 at bats.
Mookie Betts is hoping to add to his magical 2016 season which saw him finish second in AL MVP voting. Betts was simply amazing in 2016, batting .318, with 33 home runs, and 113 runs batted in. Betts shinned both in the batters box and in right field, racking up awards left and right. Betts captured the AL silver slugger award, Rawlings AL Gold glove, Wilson defensive player of the year, and two player of the month awards.
Jackie Bradley Jr. is hoping to pick up where he left off last April/May in the batters box, where he put together the longest hit streak in MLB last season at 29 games. Bradley seemed to find his bat at the beginning of last season to go along with his stellar defense in center. I personally enjoy seeing Bradley at the back-end of the lineup to add speed on the basepath for the 1-2-3 hitters.
The two constants in the infield are Bogaerts and Pedroia. Bogaerts is fresh off a World Baseball Classic which saw him hit 5-22 in seven games for the Dutch. Bogaerts had to travel half way across the globe to South Korea to play in the WBC. You can do that kind of stuff when you are 24 years old. Dustin Pedroia is set to turn 34 this season. Last season Pedroia was the model of consistency. Pedey played in 154 games (his most since 2013) batted .318, 201 hits, 105 runs, and 74 runs batted in. Pedroia’s 2016 numbers tend to get swepped under the rug with the seasons that Betts, and Ortiz had. Hopefully Pedroia can stay healthy for at least 140 games this year. This team’s #1 need is a leader in the clubhouse, a leader that has been to the promise land and knows what it takes day in and day out. I can not think of a more ideal leader than #15.
The corners are a bit of a question mark at this point. The consensus favorites are Mitch Moreland at first base and Panda at third. Both come into this season with something to prove, Moreland is trying to bounce back from a season that saw him hit a meager .233 from the plate. Already having hit on Sandavol, we know he is having a bounce back spring. Spring Training means absolutely nothing I get that, but that is where your season starts as a player. You have to ask, is he getting productive at bats, is he fielding at a high level, and is he engaged? That last one is the most important.
Behind the plate is a tricky situation as well. Your opening day starting catcher as of now is Sandy Leone. Leone was very productive at the plate last season, he batted a respectable .310 over 78 games. The problem with Leone is that he is not an everyday starter, Leone’s 78 games played last year was a career high for him. His backup might be the best defensive catcher I have seen play in recent years. Yes, there are more well-rounded catchers scattered throughout the league such as, Buster Possey in San Fransisco or Gary Sanchez in NY. However, when I watch Christian Vazquez behind the plate it is like poetry in motion. The guy is bouncing all over the place trying to set up for the perfect pitch, you rarely see a ball get behind him, he’ll gun you out at second even if you have a step on him and he always seems to be in sync with whatever pitcher is out there. If anyone was born for a specific reason, Christian Vazquez was born to be a big-league catcher, the guy understands the position inside and out. On the contrary his offense is bleak. In 57 games for the Red Sox last year Vazquez hit .233 with only one home run. If Vazquez (26) can figure out his hitting woes, the Red Sox might have their catcher for years to come. The guy the Red Sox thought would be their starting catcher for the next decade plus is in Pawtucket to start the year; Blake Swihart. Swihart was moved into the outfield last season where he saw his 2016 campaign come to an end after only 19 games, when he chased a fly ball into the left field wall, aggravating a previous ankle injury. Swihart is still on the 40 man roster so expect to see him in a Red Sox uniform sooner rather than later.
*Projected line up with projected stats:
D. Pedroia- .285 BA 16 HR 85 RBI
X. Bogaerts- .270 12 HR 70 RBI
A. Bennitendi- .275 BA 12 HR 85 RBI
M. Betts- .315 BA 27 HR 105 RBI
H. Rameriez- .280 BA 28 HR 95 RBI
M. Moreland .256 BA 22 HR 80 RBI
P. Sandoval .263 BA 16 HR 75 RBI
S. Leone- .290 BA 7 HR 60 RBI/C. Vazquez- .230 BA 4 HR 45 RBI
J. Bradley Jr- .265 BA 16 HR 76 RBI
Final verdict:
Red Sox win the AL East with 92 wins and eventually advance to the ALCS where they will go seven games with the Indians, and ultimately lose due to their lack of pitching. I hope I am wrong and they can somehow avoid Francona’s Indians, time will surely tell with this instalment of the Boston Red Sox. But first, what do you think Terry?
*Courtesy of Aidan Ahearn